Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.021438e-05 3.600023e-05 0.000042 0.000049 0.000058 0.000066 0.000076
2025-03-23 2.212429e-05 2.953346e-05 0.000038 0.000049 0.000062 0.000076 0.000094
2025-03-30 1.647910e-05 2.448808e-05 0.000035 0.000048 0.000064 0.000084 0.000108
2025-04-06 1.217509e-05 2.014999e-05 0.000031 0.000046 0.000065 0.000089 0.000120
2025-04-13 8.578133e-06 1.596918e-05 0.000027 0.000042 0.000063 0.000090 0.000127
2025-04-20 6.417271e-06 1.338121e-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000064 0.000094 0.000137
2025-04-27 5.044539e-06 1.171775e-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000066 0.000100 0.000149
2025-05-04 4.160999e-06 1.068314e-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000069 0.000108 0.000163
2025-05-11 3.822325e-06 1.058004e-05 0.000023 0.000043 0.000075 0.000120 0.000184
2025-05-18 3.261652e-06 9.905141e-06 0.000022 0.000045 0.000079 0.000129 0.000201
2025-05-25 2.291019e-06 8.081979e-06 0.000020 0.000042 0.000077 0.000128 0.000205
2025-06-01 1.691264e-06 6.895604e-06 0.000018 0.000040 0.000077 0.000131 0.000213
2025-06-08 1.127649e-06 5.680369e-06 0.000017 0.000039 0.000078 0.000136 0.000226
2025-06-15 7.472135e-07 4.753017e-06 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000143 0.000243
2025-06-22 4.569575e-07 3.870519e-06 0.000014 0.000037 0.000080 0.000149 0.000257
2025-06-29 2.452087e-07 3.020181e-06 0.000012 0.000036 0.000080 0.000152 0.000269
2025-07-06 9.912123e-08 2.156581e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000152 0.000275
2025-07-13 4.081380e-08 1.659251e-06 0.000009 0.000031 0.000077 0.000155 0.000287
2025-07-20 1.691902e-08 1.358263e-06 0.000009 0.000031 0.000079 0.000162 0.000303
2025-07-27 7.266334e-09 1.181870e-06 0.000009 0.000031 0.000082 0.000171 0.000324
2025-08-03 5.043801e-09 1.186677e-06 0.000009 0.000034 0.000089 0.000187 0.000356
2025-08-10 1.902873e-09 1.068331e-06 0.000009 0.000035 0.000093 0.000198 0.000380
2025-08-17 2.647015e-11 7.362846e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000090 0.000198 0.000385